Nate Silver 538 Presidential Prediction 2024

Nate Silver 538 Presidential Prediction 2024. Nate frames his differences with the fivethirtyeight forecast of 2024 as a disagreement of how much to trust the fundamentals, and that’s part of it. The 538 team discusses whether early voting data is a good indicator of who will win the 2024 presidential election.

538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat kamala harris’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning. 1 the model is the direct descendant of the f/k/a fivethirtyeight election.